Continuing an irregular series on who the likely voters are in the upcoming "hot" elections, I turn today to the 30th State Senate District in Manhattan being vacated by David Paterson. These percentages are based on data in the Prime New York voter file and these reports come with the usual caveats – ethnic data is based on last names so are not 100% accurate, past voting behavior is not always predicative, etc.
Likely Primary Voters Estimated Percentages
Blacks 55%
Hispanics 20%
Jewish 15%
Seniors 28%
Women 66%
Councilman Jackson District 22%
Councilwoman Brewer District 13%
Councilwoman Mark-Viverto District 21%
Councilwoman Dickens District 44%
Assemblywoman Rosenthal District 3%
Assemblyman Powell District 13%
Assemblyman O’Donnell District 36%
Assemblyman Wright District 33%
Assemblyman Farrell District 15%