Connecticut Worried About Losing the Young

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While no New York elected official can get through any public statement without using the words “senior citizen,” other states are very concerned with keeping and attracting the young. Connecticut for example, based on this article in the Hartford Courant: “State Has To Reverse Aging.” Is the Courant concerned about the young leaving because that might mean Connecticut isn’t a good place for them? No. They are worried for a reason that even the New York State Legislature could appreciate: the need for someone to pay taxes for older generations to go on living the style they have promised themselves. “OK, you may say, we have a smaller state, so what? Less traffic. Easier to get UConn tickets.” But “with the best and brightest in San Jose, and a large elderly population here, who will pay the taxes? The casinos? So before the state turns into one big Medicaid nursing home, we need to get moving. We need to improve the business climate and enhance the quality of life so we can create and attract real jobs. We need to stop building so much ‘active adult’ housing for people leaving the workforce and build something for the people trying to enter the workforce.”

Housing is a reason for young people to leave Connecticut, a reason the housing bust might reverse. But there are many reasons for young people to leave, or not move to, New York, a place where they are seen as cows to be milked by everyone who matters in Albany. While they have abandoned the rest of the state, the young continue to arrive in New York City — for reasons having nothing to do with Albany. I guess we’re going to find out how desperate they are to live here in this recession, as the vested interests take from those without deals more and more and offer less and less in return.

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Why Subsidize Superstitions?

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The following appeared in Thursday’s Daily News

Jews and Muslims will have a tougher time burying the dead before sundown because a slash in state funds will delay issuing death certificates, the city's chief medical examiner warned Wednesday.

The coroner's office is facing a 27% cut in state aid, leading the agency to propose 300 layoffs, about half the staff.

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Sometimes I hate this friggin “game” we call politics.

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So I know that politics isn’t a game: it is serious stuff; very serious stuff. When I call it a game, I am just talking figuratively that’s all. And when I call it “the only game in town”, it’s because I know that if the “politics” of any state or country isn’t right, then society can deteriorate into chaos, confusion, anarchy, civil-war, revolution, hardships and/or strife. Societies go (break down) as “politics” go. Diplomacy is politics without war, and war is surely politics without diplomacy. 

It is known that the United States of America has had its share of the growing pains that accompany political development. Examples abound: The Revolutionary War; the Civil War of 1861 thru 1865; the Great Depression; and also the days of Jim Crow. If those were games then they weren’t enjoyable for many. But people do play games, it’s human nature. And we play games every night and every day. “We never mean what we say and we seldom say what we mean”. And also, some who do say what they mean (and try to mean what they say), hardly ever seem to think of what the fuck they are really saying.  And that’s why I hate “poli-tricks” sometimes. 

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The MTA And the Past

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According to an article in Newsday, the current MTA funding crisis is the result of decisions made nine years ago, when the state legislature passed the 2000 to 2004 MTA Capital Plan. “Nine years ago, in collaboration with state officials, the mighty investment company Bear Stearns played a special role in shaping the course on which the region's transit system now finds itself” according to this source. “Not only did this financial titan advise the Metropolitan Transportation Authority on a five-year, $17-billion capital program, but more notably its executives personally sold the plan to state lawmakers – helping generate commissions for the firm while temporarily funding mass transit. From today's perspective, of course, the deal represents fiscal risk and folly. Bear's collapse a year ago signaled other global financial failures to come, and the debts carried by the state-run MTA drive its latest threat of massive fare hikes and sharp service cuts.” That’s true as far as it goes, but a highly incomplete picture. In fact, that capital plan was one of a series of similar decisions and deals that sold out the future that has now arrived. Every decision has been like that, for closer to 25 years than nine. And not just at the MTA.

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Beating Dead Horses

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As Albany goes around and around, looking for a way to seize more from the future to offset the damage they did to the present in the past, you may ask “what should they do” about the MTA meltdown. Take a time machine back and undo what they have done is the most reasonable answer. But back in early 2008 I did write a series of posts describing the problem with the MTA Capital Plan and stating what should be done about it. Things the state legislature would never do. Here was my review of the MTA Capital plan proposed along with congestion pricing who says there is no plan?), the MTA’s capital plan costs, and the way the plan should be financed. In the latter case, the words “tolls” could be substituted for “congestion pricing.”

On a related subject, my proposal for what the state ought to do about the pension disaster can generally be found at the end of rants about the pension issue overall. For those who don’t read to the end, however, here it is: the state should mandate by legislation that the employer’s contribution to such pensions should, in all years regardless of returns, be 8 percent for most employees, 12 percent for those who lift heavy loads or work outside in all weather, and 15 percent for public safety jobs such as police and fire. (Except that New York’s governments should also pay back all the years in the past 15 when their contributions were below this level, and thus too low). The employees should be required to pay the rest, whatever is required based on investment returns and other factors, each year. Thus, they would also pay for any pension enhancements, not just in theory based on an excessive “presumed” rate of return, but in reality based on the actual rate of return.

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Since the Future Is Now the Past, It’s OK in Backward-Looking New York

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The New York Observer is reporting that New York City will propose a relaxation of regulations that limit the opening of new supermarkets in low- and moderate-income neighborhoods. Leading the charge is City Planning director Amanda Burden. “With land use rule changes a centerpiece of the plan, Ms. Burden’s agency, the Department of City Planning, has been pushing the effort with the city’s Economic Development Corporation. Now, a Planning spokeswoman said the city hopes to launch the plan in coming months.” The proposal will apparently reduce parking requirements for new supermarkets, and allow them to open in manufacturing districts without a special permit that takes years to obtain, a restriction dating back to 1974 and the fear that competition from stores was responsible for the decline of manufacturing in the city. Among those quoted in the article is Richard Lipsky, who said “the draft policies were a ‘good step,’ but do not go far enough” to turn around the shrinking number of submarkets in the city. He wants the city to give precedence to new supermarkets when selling off new land.

I guess that since no one remembers what happened at point in time A people can pretty much ignore it once they get to point in time B, whether in public finance or in zoning. I don’t run into my former colleagues who still toil at DCP that often these days, but I can imagine how exasperated some of them are. Let’s take the Wayback Machine to the early-to-mid 1990s to put this issue in perspective, and then go Back to the Future an imagine what else might be prevented from coming along.

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Wen Jiabao Should Be Worried

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For those of you wondering how I can see stuff coming, all that is required is that you pay attention. One might have noticed, for example, Secretary of State Clinton imploring the Chinese government to keep buy U.S. Treasury bills, notes and bonds — in effect a poorer than average country lending money so one of the world’s richest countries can spend. I had predicted earlier that as a result of 25 years of deficits that don’t matter, the next U.S. President would end up begging for money around the world. This was followed, yesterday, by Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao admitting that he was worried about whether the $1 trillion China was already lent the United States will be paid back, and asking for “guarantees.” That is the lead story in the Financial Times today. Larry Summers, President Obama’s economic advisor, and several other administration officials released statements that the administration is committed to “long-term” fiscal stability in reply. Looks like the Republican “starve the beast” plan to destroy the government might succeed just in time.

Meaning younger generations can expect drastically higher tax rates, and perhaps will not receive benefits like Social Security and Medicare, so China can be paid back, but please keep sending money now so Generation Greed can continue to receive everything believes it is entitled to without paying for all of it. The kids will pay it back in the long run, guaranteed. Or is it?

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Primary Turnout History

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The possibility that Congressman Anthony Weiner might not run for Mayor has stirred up speculation about how this might negatively impact turnout in this year’s Democratic Primary. And that has led to talk about which candidates would be helped and hurt by less people voting.

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Universal Health Care Fixed

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For those of you wondering why I believe a universal health care financing system would be a major stimulus to the economy, I have fixed the hypertext error on this post so you can read the whole thing. Included as an attachment is a complete overview of the problems, proposals and solution I wrote in January 2008.

A recent MSNBC story, however, illustrates some of the issues nicely.

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Writing checks with my mouth (and/or pen) that my ass will have to try and cash later

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One of my two campaign managers is a feisty lil twenty-one year old Russian émigré who once lived in a refugee camp: she is tough as nails; all four feet eleven inches of her. She will be twenty-two in September. She will be graduating in May with a BA in Political Science (from Brooklyn College). She wants me to do the “semi-muzzle: and not write or say stuff without clearing it all with the campaign team. She is one tough lil Jewish cookie. She is itching for a fight with me/lol. It’s going to happen before the campaign is over/lmao.

The other female manager is as cool as cucumber, and as calm as an autumn breeze; but she will take her lil jabs at me whenever she gets an opening. She is probably unaware that I see her lil digs when she shoots them/lol.  She is much older than the first, but together they agree that I should be careful of what I write and say, now that I am a candidate for the city council. And by the way, I was formally and finally registered by the Campaign Finance Board yesterday; so for all those who were doubting my seriousness about this project: chew on it. 

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