Who votes? – first in a series

In response to numerous requests (actually just one), I plan to periodically publish reports on who the likely voters are in the upcoming "hot" elections. These percentages are based on data in the Prime New York voter file and these reports come with the usual caveats – ethnic data is based on last names so are not 100% accurate, past voting behavior is not always predicative, etc. Here we go with the 11th CD Democratic Primary, the seat being vacated by Major Owens.

Likely Primary Voters Estimated Percentages

Blacks    60%

Jewish   15%

Hispanics 8%

Seniors    24%

Women    60%

Councilman Yassky District    9%

Councilwoman Clarke District    16%

Senator Andrews’ District    45% 

Assemblyan Perry District    11%