A Shift in Travel From Bus to Bike?

The New York Times is reporting that New York City Transit's operating cost recovery ratio has reached 64.0%. I'll bet that recovery is far, far higher for the subway and lower for the bus; the separate MTA Bus Company (former private routes) only covers about 40.0%. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reports that bus ridership has been going down since 2005, as subway ridership has going up. Bus ridership had been going down long term, too, before the free transfers with Metrocard caused a short term turnaround.

A variety of explanations is given for the fall in bus ridership. One that isn't mentioned is the increase in bicycle transportation. Take it from me, almost no one who has actually tried getting around by bike would choose a bus instead, unless they were physically unable to ride. Bus trips tend to be shorter than subway trips, either to the subway or in directions the subway does not go. Bikes are faster, given you don't have to wait for them, and no less confortable in inclement weather, given that wait for the bus is outside. And with the fare increases, biking is a lot cheaper too.

My experience is that the fastest form of transportation depends on the distance covered. Over a couple of blocks, it is fastest to walk, because you don't have to take out and lock up a bicycle. The bicycle rules from about 1/4 mile to three, because it is easier to park, and up to six going to Manhattan. The subway is faster beyond six miles to Manhattan, or if there is a one train ride within the other boroughs. The auto is faster at more than three miles in the outer boroughs and six to Manhattan, if you pay to park.

There is no distance over which the bus is the fastest and most convenient way to get places.

Now let's assume that what I suggest might be happening is in fact happening. Less bus ridership is driven, at least in part, by more bicycle transportation.

That would mean New Yorkers are substituting an unsubsidized, self-reliant, form of transportation for a heavily subsidized form of government-provided transportation, and probably improving their health while doing so. And yet so-called conservatives and Republicans see fit to disparage bike transportation. Doesn't the Republican Party stand for self reliance, small government and thrift?

Not since Eisenhower.

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