I’m back, and from what I read in the newspapers, it appears that while I was out of town the city budget passed. In a triumph of the (actual rather than theoretical) liberal values of Democratic New York, this year’s cost of having teachers retire at age 55 instead of 62 (after working just 25 years) will be borne by the poor residents of NYC public housing projects, rather than children in the classroom. The schools were spared, for now, or so I read. Ironic, because not too long ago residents of public housing projects weren’t expected to do an work to benefit other people at all, but post-welfare reform, and given that none of them will get pensions, they’ll be working until age 67, at the earliest, when Social Security kicks in. This shows that the easiest cuts are to the “unaccountable” agencies that the group of politicians making them can disclaim responsibility for, such as the New York City Housing Authority, the MTA. The Department of Education will likely join them after Mayoral control ends, and after the recent pension deal and given the likely alternative of Mayoral accountability without real authority, it might as well.
I won’t comment further on the city budget at this time, because what is passed doesn’t always reflect what actually happens, and almost certainly won’t this year. The big decisions, the tough decisions, are yet to come. Instead, let’s look to something that is less likely to change — the past, and the trend in government (and related) employment prior to the new budget, as tabulated by Current Employment Survey data from the New York State Department of Labor. Here, while most trends remained in place based on the change in jobs in the year to May, one changed course – New York City’s local government employment rose significantly. Expect that trend, along with libraries that are actually open rather than just dead spots on the commercial street, to be short-lived.