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Truman, Carter and Obama

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There are many who are getting a sense of deja vu about the Obama Presidency. Like President Jimmy Carter, President Obama is dealing with quagmires that have built up over many years that will make the American people worse off for some time to come. The weight of those challenges, and the unwillingness of Congress to impose the measures needed to turn things around, is making him seem hapless and impotent. Moreover President Obama underestimated just how rotten our economy has become at its core, and what a hard slog it will be to find a bottom. The measures he managed to get passed were conventional measures for a conventional recession, not an economic structure in collapse at the end of a 30-year debt binge. That 30 year era followed another era that collapsed under President Carter.

But Jimmy Carter had a Democratic congress, whereas Barack Obama is facing a Republican congress. That makes his situation more like that of President Harry Truman, whose term I didn’t live through personally but read about in the award winning book. Truman was unpopular due to the problems in the country, including a far more brutal war than the one we are in, and yet could run against a “do nothing Congress.” At the time, as well, part of the Republican Party had fallen into McCarthyism. You can’t say politics today are more divisive than that. To put on a respectable face the Republicans nominated a respected and reasonable figure, Thomas E. Dewey, the Mitt Romney of his day, but Truman won anyway.

Eric Scheiderman Gets it Wrong

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According to the Attorney General, as quoted in the Daily News, stock prices are volatile because people distrust Wall Street. “The trust bank is empty and we have to restore public confidence in the instruments of government and the instruments of the private sector,” Scheiderman said. Scheiderman said people need to believe that Wall Street “is not a rigged casino.”

Actually, stock prices are volatile because they are too high, because the suckers have too much trust. The dividend yield is 2.0%, down from a historical average of 4.3%. Those running the rigged casino are looking for the signal to get out before the suckers. Scheiderman is repeating the Spitzer line, and perhaps enough trust was restored after 2000 that the suckers were fleeced again. What people need to believe is that Wall Street is, in fact, a rigged casino, and that government will not be trustable until all those incumbents are tossed out. The real debate is whether our public and private institutions can be reclaimed, or the best we can hope for is to rebuild after an institutional collapse that we only hurt ourselves more by forestalling. The problem, Mr. Scheiderman, is the values of Generation Greed.

A FUN COLUMN

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Given the recent ”crap” on Room Eight New York Politics, I decided to share an old  e-mail I had gotten some time aback, with some of the readers. I am doing this in order to inject a little levity into things, before (I suspect) another round of fireworks start up between the Gentleman (myself) and the Stalker (Howard “Gatemouth” Graubard). I hope he now understands that this isn’t going away anytime soon, and in the end the outcome will not be nice (for him). I warned him for years to leave me to heck alone; but he wouldn’t listen.

Who Put In the Moat?

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According to a recent article, with Nassau Coliseum in bad shape and no money for a new arena in Nassau County, there is some talk about the New York Islanders hockey team moving to the Barclay's Center in Brooklyn. I doubt such a move would be permanent, because the arena would evidently only seat less than 15,000 for hockey, but it could provide the Islanders with a place to play until either a larger venue becomes available or the team moves away.

There is another obstacle to such a move, however. According to the Daily News, “Islanders' owner Charles Wang said he wants to keep the team on Long Island.” Now I know what he meant, but the maps says Brooklyn is part of Long Island, even residents of neither Brooklyn nor Nassau and Suffolk Counties wish to admit this. No one built a moat on the Queens border, although many years ago one wag who used to comment on a transit message board once suggested that Nassau and Suffolk might want to build one, leaving the separate landmass of Brooklyn and Queens to be called “Royal Island” and disassociated from them entirely.

Wake Up, Already!

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SIENNA POLLSTER STEVEN GREENBERG: “Democrat Weprin holds a small six-point lead over Republican Turner in a district where there are more than three times as many Democrats as Republicans…While Weprin holds a two-to-one advantage over Turner with Democrats, Turner has a nearly six-to-one lead among Republicans and a slim four-point lead with independent voters.

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