Comptroller Liu released a report that claimed, media stories based on a press release said, New York City pension expenses have increased due to poor investment returns and not retroactive pension enhancements for NYC public employees. But that isn’t what the report, which contained little more information than a press release and no back-up, actually said. Liu claimed that 48% of the pension hole, which he is apparently prepared to admit exists, is due to low investment returns, and 44% is due to retroactive pension enhancements that were voted for by the state legislature in Albany. The rest is due to the fact pensions have automatically become richer for public employees, as they live longer in retirement relative to the years they have worked. For private sector workers, longer lifespans means living on less each year or running out of money.
Adding it up, 52% of the pension hole according to Liu is due to NYC public employees getting a richer pension deal at the expense of other people, the majority of whom are less well off. And just 48% is due to what he calls low investment returns. This is nearly plausible, but I have five main problems with it.